On the morning of Saturday 8th June, England begin their Champions Trophy campaign as host nation, against the old enemy Australia. There would be no better boost ahead of back-to-back Ashes campaigns than a first one-day title in the final incarnation of the Champions Trophy. But will we see Alistair Cook lift the trophy on June 23rd? Here, we examine England’s chances.
It’s fair to say that the warm-up series against New Zealand did not exactly inspire confidence. Overly cautious batting, poor shot selection, mediocre bowling and sloppy fielding contributed to a fairly comfortable series win for the Kiwis, with only the dead rubber third match offering England any encouragement. England have, on paper, a strong mix of youth and experience with both bat and ball, combining established stars such as Cook, Trott, Anderson and Swann with hungry young talents like Joe Root and Jos Buttler. If England play to full potential, they have as good a chance to win the tournament as anyone, especially as they play with home advantage. But too often, England have underperformed in the 50-over game, and it would be a surprise to many if it is England who are celebrating.
Batting
The biggest criticism of England’s batting during the warm-up series against New Zealand was that they scored far too slowly in the opening overs. The opening trio of Cook, Bell and Trott are undoubtedly three of the most talented batsmen in world cricket, but all three are naturally cautious in style, preferring to settle into the crease over an extended period, before growing in fluidity. Trott’s run a ball century against New Zealand and Bell’s useful 82 demonstrate that these batsmen are vital members of the side, but England scored just 6 runs in the opening 6 overs against New Zealand, and if early wickets fall, England often find themselves playing catch up with the run rate. If England can keep a healthy run rate ticking over in the early stages of the innings, it will alleviate pressure on the more attacking players lower down the order.
If England are to have a successful tournament, much will be expected of Eoin Morgan and Jos Buttler, the batsmen most capable of scored aggressively and quickly. Their partnership during England’s win over the Kiwis was devastating and match winning, particularly Buttler’s stunning 47 from 15 balls. Whilst England may not boast an out and out superstar in the mould of Chris Gayle or Virat Kohli, they have enough aggression and skill in the batting lineup to outscore anyone.
Bowling
The warm-up series against New Zealand exposed a worrying lack of depth in the England bowling lineup. In James Anderson, Stuart Broad, Steven Finn and Graeme Swann, England have one of the strongest bowling attacks in the game, but the performances of Chris Woakes and Jade Dernbach against the Kiwis will leave England fans praying that injuries do not take their toll, and with the Ashes on the horizon, the England coaching staff will understandably be cautious over the condition of their star bowlers. James Tredwell bowled well in England’s victory over New Zealand, but it remains unlikely that England will choose to play with two spinners very often. England will be expected to take wickets with their strong first choice bowling lineup, but unless the likes of Dernbach, Woakes and even Bresnan can improve when called upon, England may struggle to contain their opponents.
The Opposition
Judging England’s opponents in the Super Eights is far from straight forward. Their opening game is against the defending champions, but it is an Australian side in complete disarray. Still hurting from a disastrous tour of India, their warm-up against the Indians was possibly even more embarrassing still, after being bowled out for their lowest ever ODI score of 65. In addition, their captain and star man Michael Clarke has been ruled out of at least the opening game against England. The hosts should start with a win, but a wounded Australia is a dangerous Australia, and when the two sides meet, anything can happen. England will also face New Zealand and Sri Lanka in the Super Eights. England will hope they have learnt from their mistakes before they take on New Zealand again, whilst victory against an inconsistent Sri Lankan side can be achieved if the likes of Dilshan and the evergreen Jayawardene can be suppressed, and the mercurial bowling talents of Malinga and Senanayake endured.
Verdict?
If England make it beyond the Super Eights, anything is possible. With a bit of luck and form in the right places, England can be a force and a challenger for the ICC Champions Trophy. But I can’t help but feel that England will just come up short. Semi-finals.